Hydrometeorological Research and Forecasting, no. 2 (396)
"Proceedings of the Hydrometcenter of Russia"

Edited by А.А. Аlekseeva, PhD in Geography

The features of circulation in the Southern Hemisphere free atmosphere affecting aircraft flights are considered. The comparison of two systems for subseasonal ensemble forecasting based on the SL-AV model is given. Based on the individual cases observed in the Moscow region during the cold periods of 2023-2024, the formation environments of freezing rain and glaze and methods for their prediction are considered. An updated system for predicting pollutant concentrations in the Moscow region based on the CHIMERE-2023 chemistry-transport model is presented. The results of studying the chemical composition of snow cover in different geomorphological zones of the Kabardino-Balkarian Republic are presented. According to the CMIP6 models, trends in average annual precipitation in the Azov-Black Sea region are calculated. The section of hydrological forecasts provides an overview of the activities of the World Meteorological Organization in the field of operational hydrology and recommendations for issuing probabilistic streamflow forecasts. The results of testing the technologies and methods recommended for adoption in 2024 by the Roshydromet Central Methodological Commission for Hydrometeorological and Heliogeophysical Forecasts are presented. The journal is interesting both for specialists and for a wide range of people studying hydrometeorology.

Summaries .pdf


Contents

Meteorological forecasts, mathematical modeling

Ivanova A.R.
Some features of the Southern Hemisphere circulation in the free atmosphere affecting aircraft flights - summaries .pdf

Kulikova I.A., Kruglova E.N., Khan V.M., Zaripov R.B., Mizyak V.G., Tolstykh M.A.
Comparison of two subseasonal ensemble forecasting systems using the SLAV072L96 model - summaries .pdf

Dmitrieva T.G., Vasil’ev Е.V.
Analysis of formation environments and prediction features of freezing rain and glaze in the Moscow region - summaries .pdf

Tkacheva J.V., Kuznetsova I.N.
An updated system for forecasting pollutant concentrations in the Moscow region based on the CHIMERE-2023 chemistry-transport model - summaries .pdf

Agoeva E.A., Lamashvili L.S., Kumykov R.M.
Studying the composition of the snow cover in different geomorphological zones in the Caucasus region - summaries .pdf


Computing and forecasting of the marine environment parameters

Polonsky A.B., Sukhonos P.A.
Trends in annual precipitation in the Azov-Black Sea region from CMIP6 models - summaries .pdf


Hydrological forecasts

Simonov Yu.A.
Activities of the World Meteorological Organization in the field of operational hydrology - summaries .pdf

Simonov Yu.A., Khristoforov A.V.
A probabilistic form of streamflow forecasts - summaries .pdf


Results of testing new and improved technologies, models and methods for hydrometeorological forecasting, recommended for introduction into operational practice according to the resolutions of the Roshydromet Central Methodological Commission for Hydrometeorological and Heliogeophysical Forecasts in 2024 and confirmed by adoption certificates

Rivin G.S., Astakhova E.D., Rozinkina I.A., BlinovD.V.,Kirsanov A.A., Kopeykin V.V., Kospanov A.A., Nikitin M.A.
Short-range numerical weather prediction for the regions of Russia, foreign Europe, Central Asia, the Arctic, Atlantic and Pacific oceans north of 29° N on the basis of the ICON-Ru13/6N29 configuration (the grid spacing is 6.5 km, 74 vertical levels) based on the new-generation ICON global model - summaries .pdf

Khan V.M., Tishchenko V.A., Kruglova E.N., Resnyanskiy Yu.D., Subbotin A.V., Gritsun A.S., Volodin E.M., Tarasevich M.A., Bragina V.V.
Technology for seasonal prediction based on the INM-CM6 model version including an additional module for the computation of very-long-range forecasts - summaries .pdf

Kiktev D.B., Muravyev A.V., Smirnov A.V.
Technology for nowcasting wind gusts in summer based on the data of remote sensing of the atmosphere and numerical weather prediction - summaries .pdf