Hydrometeorological Research and Forecasting, no. 4 (394)
"Proceedings of the Hydrometcenter of Russia"

Edited by D.Ya. Pressman, PhD of Physical and Mathematical Sciences

The results of forecasts based on the INM RAS Earth system model are analyzed: seasonal forecasts of sea surface temperature and sea ice characteristics, ultra-long-term forecasts of meteorological characteristics of Russian river basins. Calculations of neutrally-stratified turbulent flows over idealized urban surfaces are carried out using a Large-Eddy Simulation (LES) model. Based on the ERA5 reanalysis, the characteristics of freezing precipitation in European Russia are studied, and soil moisture parameters are estimated from the observations at 10 Roshydromet stations in 2011–2023. An algorithm is proposed for correcting the observation data on the surface temperature of Russian water bodies when constructing initial data fields in the SLAV10 model. Artificial learning algorithms are used in the paper dealing with the development of a method for long-range forecasting of maximum water levels of the Iset’ River and in the paper on the assessment of long-term changes in the hydrological regime of the raised bog. An overview of the outcomes of the 27th session of the North Eurasian Climate Outlook Forum (NEACOF-27) and the workshop under the auspices of UN ESCAP is presented.

Summaries .pdf


Contents

Meteorological forecasts, mathematical modeling

Resnyanskii Yu.D., Zelenko А.А., Stepanov V.N., Strukov B.S., Khan V.M., Volodin Е.М., Gritsun А.S., Tarasevich М.А., Bragina V.V.
Verification of seasonal forecasts of sea surface temperature and sea ice characteristics based on the INM RAS Earth system model - summaries .pdf

Gritsun A.S., Semenova N.K., Simonov Yu.A., Khan V.M., Khristoforov A.V.
Analysis of ultra-long-term forecasts of meteorological characteristics of Russian river basins using the INM-CM5 climate model outputs - summaries .pdf

Glazunov A.V., Mortikov E.V., Debolskiy A.V.
Turbulent length scales in urban canopy flow and their relation to velocity fluctuation spectra - summaries .pdf

Rogutov V.S., Tolstykh M.A.
Correction and assimilation the date of water objects surface temperature hydrological observations - summaries .pdf

Akmaev E.R., Romanov A.V.
Deep learning long-term method of maximum water level forecast of the Iset - summaries .pdf

Leonov I.I., Sokolikhina N.N., Lavrenteva A.I. Freezing precipitation in European Russia in 1979–2022 and its reproduction by the ERA5 reanalysis - summaries .pdf

Zhuravleva A.D., Kurochkina L.S., Skorospekhova T.V.
Assessment of changes in the hydrological regime of a raised bog under conditions of expected climate change during the period until 2060: A case study for the Lammin-Suo bog - summaries .pdf

Klang P.S., Khan V.M., Tarasova L.L.
Estimation of volumetric soil moisture from ERA5 reanalysis according to the station observations of moisture reserves in the regions of the Russian Federation - summaries .pdf

Khan V.M., Pomoshchnikov N.N., Srivastava S., Avi S., Pronina E.A., Gushchina D.Yu., Davlyatov R.R., Isabekova Zh.K., Kokulova V.A., Tishchenko V.A., Sumerova K.A., Lipka O.N., Emelina S.V., Travova S.V., Nabokova E.V.
Climate research, reviews Outcomes of the 27th session of the North Eurasian Climate Outlook Forum combined with the UN ESCAP workshop - summaries .pdf