Hydrometeorological Research and Forecasting, no. 2 (388)
"Proceedings of the Hydrometcenter of Russia"

Edited by E.S. Nesterov, Doctor of Geographical Sciences

A brief description of the COSMO-Ru2By configuration (the grid spacing is 2.2 km) of the COSMO model is given, which provides numerical weather forecasts for up to 48 hours for the regions in the European part of Russia and the Republic of Belarus, the results of estimating the accuracy of these forecasts are also presented. The wind gustiness parameterization is investigated in the problem of long-range forecasting of weather anomalies. Statistical estimates of the parameters of the atmospheric centers of action (location and intensity) in the Northern and Southern hemispheres are presented. The results of analyzing synoptic conditions of tornado occurrence in the Kursk region and nearby areas are provided. The results of improving algorithms for hail diagnosis based on DMRL-C radar network and numerical prediction data are presented. The results of the synoptic-statistical analysis of heat and cold waves of different duration and intensity in the Middle Volga region are discussed. A system of equations for forecasting storm surges in the Gulf of Finland is considered, which allows predicting the maximum level of water rise at the Neva River mouth with an error not exceeding 10%. The analysis of modern neural network models in the problems of hydrological forecasting is carried out. Changes in the data on pollutant emissions into the atmosphere over the Moscow region are analyzed.

Summaries .pdf


Contents

Hydrodynamic weather forecast

Rozinkina I. A., Rivin G. S., Bagrov A.N., Blinov D.V., Bykov F.L., Vaskova D.V., Zakharchenko D.I., Bundel A.Yu., Vorobyeva E.V., Kirsanov A.A., Polyukhov A.A., Shatunova M.V., Shuvalova Yu.О., Eliseev G.V.
The COSMO-Ru2By configuration of the COSMO model: skill and methodology for estimating of the forecasts of B- and y-mesoscale processes - summaries .pdf


Long-range meteorological forecasts

Fadeev R.Yu.
Wind gustiness parameterization and long-range weather prediction - summaries .pdf


General circulation and characteristics of the atmosphere

Balakin V.S., Shipko Yu.V., Kolychev O.V., Kyznetsov I.E., Zakusilov V.P., Shuvakin E.V.
Statistical estimates of the parameters of winter and summer atmospheric centers of action based on 1992–2021 reanalysis - summaries .pdf

Morozova S.V., Lapina S.N., Polyanskaya E.A., Alimpieva M.A. Synoptic conditions for the formation of dry and wet heat and cold waves in the Middle Volga Region - summaries .pdf

Sannikova G.V. Analysis of the synoptic processes leading to the occurrence of tornadoes in the Kursk region and nearby areas - summaries .pdf

Alekseeva A.A., Bukharov V.M., Losev V.M.
Diagnosis of hail based on DMRL-С and numerical modeling data - summaries .pdf


Computing and forecasting of the marine environment parameters

Finland Klemin V.V., Korolyova O.A.
Solving the problem of damping free oscillations of the water level surface in the Gulf of - summaries .pdf


Hydrological forecasts

Romanov A.V., Akmaev E.R., Chervonenkis M.A.
Deep neural networks of transformer architecture in problems of hydrological forecasts - summaries .pdf


Atmospheric processes and air pollution

Borisov D.V., Kuznetsova I.N., Nakhaev M.I.
Changes in inventory data on pollutant emissions into the atmosphere over the Moscow region - summaries .pdf