Hydrometeorological Research and Forecasting, no. 1 (387)
"Proceedings of the Hydrometcenter of Russia"

Edited by A.A. Vasiliev, Doctor of Geographical Sciences

The present issue contains the papers that deal with studying a wide range of practical problems of hydrometeorological forecasting. The papers concerning meteorological forecasts contain the results of research on improving the method of operational forecasting of monthly mean air temperature and the analysis of probabilistic radar precipitation nowcasting. The section of marine and hydrological forecasts includes the papers on modeling sea surface temperature and surface air temperature, wind waves, as well as the case study of a strong spring flood in the Primorsky Krai in September 2022. The paper dealing with the description of the method for the sunflower yield prediction developed at the Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation for the subjects of the European part of Russia and for entire country with a lead time of 3–3.5 months is of great interest. Three papers describe the regional features of climate change. The issue is intended for specialists and readers interested in hydrometeorological forecasting.

Summaries .pdf


Contents

Meteorological forecasts

Vilfand R.M., Kruglova E.N., Kulikova I.A., Khan V.M.
Improved dynamic statistical method for forecasting monthly surface air temperature - summaries .pdf

Muravev A.V., Kiktev D.B., Smirnov A.V., Pavljukov Ju.B., Serebrjannik N.I.
Verification of deterministic and probabilistic radar precipitation nowcasting in warm and cold seasons in the European part of Russia - summaries .pdf


Marine and hydrological forecasts

Butakov N.Y., Rubinstein K.G.
Forecasting sea surface temperature and 2 m air temperature with a coupled ocean-atmosphere system for the White Sea region in summer - summaries .pdf

Myslenkov S.A.
Modeling of the wind waves in the Laptev, East Siberian and Chukchi seas - summaries .pdf

Lisina I.A., Vasilevskaya L.N., Vasilevsky D.N., Kramareva L.S., Shamilova Yu.A.
Analysis of the causes of flooding on the Partizanskaya River (Primorsky Krai) in September 2022 - summaries .pdf


Agrometeorological forecasts

Strashnaya А.I., Tishchenko V.А.
Method for forecasting the sunflower yield in the subjects of the European part of Russia and entire Russia with a lead time of 3–3.5 months - summaries .pdf


Climate variability research

Korshunova N.N., Shvets N.V.
Regional features of changes in the normals of the main climatic parameters in Russia - summaries .pdf

Gadzhiev A.Kh., Guseinov Dzh.S., Ismailova N.N.
Dynamics of meteorological factors affecting desertification of the Kura-Aras Lowland during 1991–2020 - summaries .pdf

Khan V.M., Vilfand R.M., Tishchenko V.A., Sumerova K.A., Emelina S.V., Kaverina E.S., Kruglova E.N., Kulikova I.A., Nabokova E.V., Subbotin A.V.
Features of atmospheric circulation in the summer of 2022 - summaries .pdf