Hydrometeorological Research and Forecasting, no. 3 (385)
"Proceedings of the Hydrometcenter of Russia"

Edited by A.A. Vasiliev, Doctor of Geographical Sciences

The present issue contains the results of the studies in various fields of hydrometeorological forecasting. The elements of the theory of verification of the radar nowcasting of significant precipitation areas with an application to forecasts in the warm and cold periods of 2017–2018 are presented. The analysis of the winter synoptic process with strong wind in the Belgorod region is of interest to meteorologists forecasting severe weather events. The paper containing the spatiotemporal distribution of precipitation over the Central and Western Pamirs will attract attention of specialists studying regional changes and climate fluctuations. For the Far Eastern region of Russia, an algorithm has been developed for the operational detection of potential fog areas based on the Himawari-8 geostationary satellite data. The section of hydrological forecasting presents the results of testing methods for short-range forecasting of the flow of the Kama basin rivers based on independent data. The section of agrometeorological forecasts describes an approach to modeling soil moisture reserves by neural ordinary differential equations. The final paper presents the results of improving the technology for forecasting meteorological parameters and conditions affecting air pollution.


Contents

Nowcasting

Muravev A.V., Bundel A.Yu., Kiktev D.B., Smirnov A.V.
Verification of radar precipitation nowcasting of significant areas using the generalized Pareto distribution. Part 1: Elements of theory and methods for estimating parameters - summaries .pdf

Muravev A.V., Bundel A.Yu., Kiktev D.B., Smirnov A.V.
Verification of radar precipitation nowcasting of significant areas using the generalized Pareto distribution. Part 2: Application to forecasts in warm and cold periods of 2017–2018 - summaries .pdf


General circulation and characteristics of the atmosphere

Dmitrieva T.G., Sannikova G.V., Smirnov А.V.
Analysis of the synoptic process accompanied by strong wind in the Central Chernozem Region on January 14–15, 2022 - summaries .pdf

Normatov I.Sh., Homidov A., Normatov P.I., Muminov A.O.
Studying the spatial distribution of precipitation in the Central and Western Pamirs using stable isotopes of surface water - summaries .pdf

Kuchma M.O., Shamilova J.A.
Near-real-time detection of potential fog by Himawari-8 geostationary satellite data - summaries .pdf


Hydrological forecasts

Borshch S.V., Semenova N.K., Simonov Yu.A., Khristoforov A.V.
Short-term streamflow forecast techniques for the Kama River basin - summaries .pdf


Agrometeorological forecasts

Golov V.A., Bykov Ph.L.
Modelling upper-layer soil available water capacity by neural ordinary differential equations - summaries .pdf


Atmospheric processes and air pollution

pollution Tkacheva Yu.V., Kuznetsova I.N., Nakhaev M.I.
Improved technology for forecasting meteorological parameters and conditions affecting air - summaries .pdf