On the results of the
Eighteenth Session of the North Eurasian Climate Forum (NEACOF-18)/ Khan V.M., Vilfand R.M., Tischenko V.A.,
Kaverina E.S, Sumerova K.A., Kulikova I.A., Kruglova E.N. // Hydrometeorological Research and
Forecasting, 2020, no. 2 (376), pp. 141-152.
The main results of the
analysis of large-scale atmospheric circulation in the Northern Hemisphere for
the last winter of 2019/2020 are presented. The
quality of consensus forecasts of air temperature and precipitation issued
during the 17th session of NEACOF-17 are discussed,
with the presentation of forecast skill scores calculated for the territory of
Northern Eurasia and for enlarged regions. The main features of the thermal
state of the ocean and large-scale atmospheric circulation for the coming
summer of 2020 are analyzed. The forecast of surface
air temperature and precipitation anomalies for the upcoming summer of 2020 is formulated in agreement with the experts who participated
in NEACOF-18.
Keywords: consensus forecast, air temperature,
precipitation, large-scale atmospheric circulation, hydrodynamic models, sea
surface temperature
Tab. 1. Fig. 6. Ref. 14.