Hydrometeorological Research and Forecasting, no. 2 (368)
"Proceedings of the Hydrometcenter of Russia"
Edited by A.A. Alekseeva

Summaries - (PDF)


The present issue of the journal contains papers related to various areas of hydrometeorological science. Three articles cover the studies of formation conditions and forecasting of active convection with squalls and thunderstorms. Application of radar information for verification of the high-resolution numerical weather prediction is considered. The uncertainties in the prediction of severe weather events and possible ways to reduce them are discussed. Aviation forecasts are presented in the paper dealing with the icing of aircraft engines in ice crystals. Another paper deals with the climate research and provides the analysis of long-term (100 years) variability of surface air temperature in the area of the Dvina Bay (the White Sea). Hydrology is represented by the paper dealing with the snow cover monitoring based on satellite and model data for different catchment areas in the European part of Russia. In the section of agrometeorological forecasts, the estimation of vegetation conditions and the forecast of maize yield using satellite and terrestrial information for the subjects of the Russian Federation as well as the features and impact of drought in the Urals and Siberia in 2012 on the spring grain crops yield are considered. The method for interpolation of piecewise linear data on vehicle emissions on a regular model grid is considered for Moscow.


Contents

Short-range and extra short-range weather forecasts

Kalinin N.A., Bykov A.V., Pischalnikova E.V., Shikhov A.N.
Analysis of conditions for the formation of strong squalls in the Perm region environments in using the ground-based data and numerical weather prediction data

Tokarev V.M., Zdereva M.Ya., Khluchina N.A., Vorobyeva L.P., Baboshina N.A.
Оperational technology of for thunderstorms forecasting in the Ural-Siberian region and test results

Nechepurenko O.E., Gorbatenko V.P., Konstantinova D.A., Sevastyanov V.V.
Instability indices and their thresholds for the forecast of thunderstorms over Siberia

Zaripov R.B., Pavlyukov Yu.B., Shumilin A.A., Travov A.V.
Application of radar information for verification of the high-resolution numericalweather prediction

Vasil’ev A.A., Vasil’ev E.V., Dmitrieva T.G.
Uncertainty in prediction of severe weather events and the possible ways of their reduction


Aviation weather forecasts

Ivanova A.R.
Icing of aircraft engines in ice crystals: ways to solve the problem


Climate variability research

Krasilnikova V.V.
Analysis of inter-annual variability of surface air temperature in the Dvina Bay of the White sea for the period 1915–2015


Hydrological forecasts

Churiulin E.V., Kopeykin V.V., Rozinkina I.A., Frolova N.L., Churiulina A.G.
Analysis of snow cover characteristics by satellite and model data for different catchment areas are located on the territory of the Russian Federation


Agrometeorological forecasts

Goncharova T.A., Naidina T.A., Lebedeva V.M., Beryoza O.V.
Estimation of vegetation conditions and the forecast of maize yield using satellite and terrestrial information for the subjects of the Russian Federation and testing results

Strashnaya A.I., Birman B.A., Bereza O.V.
Peculiarities of drought in 2012 in the Urals and in Western Siberia and its impact on the yield of spring grain crops


Atmospheric processes and air pollution

Tkacheva Ju.V.
Methodology of interpolating piecewise linear data on vehicle emissions on a regular model grid