Таблица 2
РЕЗУЛЬТАТЫ ИСПЫТАНИЯ ПРОГНОЗОВ ТЯН НА 24 Ч ПО МОДЕЛЯМ NCEP, T85L31 и
ПЛАВ
|
Уровни,
гПа |
Общая оправдываемость |
Критерий Пирси-Обухова |
Критерий Хайдке-Багрова |
||||||
|
T85L31 |
ПЛАВ |
NCEP |
T85 L31 |
ПЛАВ |
NCEP |
T85 L31 |
ПЛАВ |
NCEP |
|
|
СЕВЕРНОЕ
ПОЛУШАРИЕ (7721502 узла сетки размером 1.25х1.250,
11859120 узлов сетки размером 1х10) |
|||||||||
|
700 |
98.9 |
99.2 |
98.9 |
.217 |
.295 |
.494 |
.232 |
.353 |
.474 |
|
500 |
96.4 |
97.4 |
97.6 |
.448 |
.546 |
.613 |
.402 |
.536 |
.585 |
|
400 |
93.1 |
94.9 |
95.3 |
.471 |
.577 |
.648 |
.464 |
.587 |
.630 |
|
300 |
93.1 |
93.7 |
94.5 |
.319 |
.491 |
.599 |
.372 |
.502 |
.585 |
|
250 |
92.1 |
93.2 |
94.3 |
.374 |
.521 |
.624 |
.419 |
.537 |
.616 |
|
200 |
94.5 |
95.4 |
96.1 |
.431 |
.524 |
.611 |
.439 |
.533 |
.599 |
|
150 |
97.0 |
97.8 |
98.2 |
.525 |
.506 |
.572 |
.416 |
.485 |
.541 |
|
100 |
99.3 |
99.7 |
99.5 |
.336 |
.398 |
.398 |
.129 |
.175 |
.344 |
|
РОССИЯ
(1702998 узлов сетки размером 1.25х1.250, 2612192 узла сетки размером 1х10) |
|||||||||
|
700 |
98.5 |
98.7 |
98.3 |
.141 |
.246 |
.495 |
.183 |
.317 |
.464 |
|
500 |
94.9 |
96.2 |
96.0 |
.347 |
.466 |
.573 |
.355 |
.495 |
.544 |
|
400 |
88.8 |
91.4 |
91.8 |
.387 |
.513 |
.602 |
.400 |
.536 |
.588 |
|
300 |
88.2 |
89.4 |
90.3 |
.305 |
.449 |
.569 |
.354 |
.473 |
.554 |
|
250 |
86.9 |
88.8 |
90.3 |
.334 |
.484 |
.604 |
.379 |
.509 |
.594 |
|
200 |
91.5 |
92.8 |
93.8 |
.388 |
.492 |
.609 |
.414 |
.514 |
.592 |
|
150 |
95.6 |
96.7 |
97.3 |
.504 |
.599 |
.656 |
.487 |
.556 |
.612 |
|
100 |
99.2 |
99.7 |
99.6 |
.278 |
.274 |
.442 |
.074 |
.158 |
.367 |